Minnesota 2026-27

A Super El Nino is coming

NOAA gives it over 90% odds. Historically, that has meant less snow for Minnesota. Photo: Tony Webster, CC BY-SA.

The odds

>90% chance

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center's odds of a very strong El Nino this fall and winter.

The history

24% less snow, on average

Minnesota DNR's own figure, across 27 El Nino winters since 1950. Not a promise for this year.

Two Minnesotas

Duluth: 90.2" a season

Almost double the Twin Cities' 51.2 inch normal. Lake Superior is the reason why.

The exception

1991: 28.4" in one storm

The Halloween Blizzard hit during an El Nino winter. A milder lean is not a guarantee. See the full guide.

Read the full guide

What both almanacs say

NOAA, the Farmers' Almanac and the Old Farmer's Almanac compared, city by city, season by season.

Read the full guide