Jersey City during Winter Storm Fern, January 2026. Photo: Tzim78, CC BY-SA 4.0.
Computed from 76 years of NOAA station data.
The Almanac is softer: only slightly below normal.
Coastal air changes more storms to rain.
Jan and Feb together are 61% of the whole season.
Earliest on record: October 20, 1952.
76 years of station data, and what two forecasters actually say.