NOAA gives it a greater than 90% chance. Texas is two snow states, and it will not treat them alike. NASA image.
That is its average in strong El Nino winters, against 4.5 normally. This photo is from the last one. Dicklyon, CC BY-SA.
Across the three strongest El Ninos, east and south Texas recorded no snow at all. Photo: Miguel Angel Omana Rojas, CC BY.
February 2021 set the snowiest season on record at Abilene, Waco and Austin. Photo: David Kitto, CC0.
Dallas averages 2.3 inches and runs below normal in strong El Ninos. Full record in the guide.